Monday, December 17, 2012

Oddly Relevant Dec-17-2012


Europe’s banks are shrinking. What will take their place? Peer-to-peer platforms for miscellaneous retail services and institutional investors as lending sources for issuers with lower credit ratings. Retail-bond markets are becoming an increasingly popular and HY bond is heading a record year. While the pool of II’s is still small, alliances with division of labor in issuance and risk-taking are sprouting up. The path ahead for European finance is broadly clear. The banks will concentrate more on bread-and-butter lending like mortgages and cut down their exposure to other long-dated assets; a few lucky corporate issuers will be able to pick and choose how they get their capital; everything else will have to rely more on other sources of finance. More firms will turn to the bond markets. Very large pools of capital—held by sovereign-wealth funds, as well as by insurers and pension funds—will do more direct lending, often in partnership with banks. New forms of finance will nibble away at mainstream providers.[Note: Could we one day move to a banking model drive by transparency and technology?]…Source: http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21568365-europes-banks-are-shrinking-what-will-take-their-place-filling-bank-shaped-hole

5 Steps That Will Curb Gun Violence: (1) microstamping with every gun carrying its own unique signature on every bullet, (2) magazine limitations, (3) equalizing online and offline gun sales, (4) put gun registries in Terrorism databases, and (5) Cash for guns. [Note: Gun laws apply to people who actually follow laws]…Source: http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/12/gun-control/all/

Today’s challenges go beyond Keynes: Keynesian returned with the financial crisis, but it’s time to reconsider, says Jeffrey Sachs, amidst US’s 4 years of structural budget deficits, zero rates, and endless calls of stimulus: (1) he fiscal expansion has been mostly in the form of temporary tax cuts and transfer payments. Much of these were probably saved, not spent; (2) the zero interest rate policy runs the risk of creating another bubble, and (3) our real challenge is not a great depression, but deep structural change. The US needs a different growth path. [Note: a recovery from productivity leap we need]…Source: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/369d77da-483f-11e2-a1c0-00144feab49a.html#axzz2FEfRQdLC

High-Tech Factories Built to Be Engines of Innovation: the evisceration of manufacturing work force over the past 30 years might have dimmed the country’s capacity to innovate. Sophisticated engineering and manufacturing capabilities that underpin innovation in a wide range of products have been rapidly leaving alongside low-value tasks, and that might have left the US behind in some fast-growing areas of cutting-edge technology like bioscience and nanotechnology. [Note: unfortunately, engineering and bioscience is just not as cool as, say, computer science and finance, you know]…Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/14/business/companies-see-high-tech-factories-as-fonts-of-ideas.html?pagewanted=2&_r=0

Difference Engine: Phones up in the air: The phone ban exists not (as the public is often led to believe) because mobiles disrupt an aircraft’s sensitive avionics, but rather to stop them playing havoc with the phone companies' receiving equipment on the ground that is trying to handle their calls. [Note: there could be other reasons too, such as the demand for passengers to be alert and the chances of mobile devices becoming unguided missiles should a crash occur]…Source: http://www.economist.com/blogs/babbage/2012/12/radio-interference

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